Although “Hai” in Japanese means “Yes” in English, in Nihongo this does not mean that the person agrees with you. It only indicates that you are listening. Japan’s policy towards Porcelain it was also as ambivalent as a “Hai” until Tokyo came out last Friday declaring China an “unprecedented and greatest strategic challenge” to Japan and the rules-based world order in its security strategy document. national.
The NSS has called out China and Russia separately as a threat to world peace and security with Beijing making unilateral changes to the status quo in the Indo-Pacific and Moscow shaking the foundations of the state of order by invading Ukraine. “The possibility of a similar serious situation arising in the Indo-Pacific region, especially in East Asia, cannot be ruled out in the future,” the document said, referring to the possibility of China invading Taiwan.
The unequivocal depiction of the threat posed by China and its “limitless” ally Russia in the Japanese document is clearly the first step towards rebalancing power in the Indo-Pacific and the throwback of a former pacifist nation to the wolf warriors of Kingdom Medium. Adopted by the Kishida government, the NSS recommends that Japan acquire long-range missile counter capability, as well as double its defense budget.
The description of China as a serious threat to Japanese security has been cast in very unflattering terms in the document, while highlighting Beijing’s strategic coordination with Russia.
“China’s current external posture, military activities and other activities have become a matter of grave concern to Japan and the international community and present an unprecedented and greatest strategic challenge to ensuring Japan’s peace and security. .. Japan must respond with its vast national power and in cooperation with its allies, like-minded countries and others,” the document says.
On Russia, the document notes the acceleration of the Red Army’s activities in the vicinity of Japan. “The foreign and military activities of Russia and others in the Indo-Pacific region, including Japan, along with their strategic coordination with China, are of great security concern,” the document says, making it abundantly clear that Tokyo must Be prepared for a China-Russia alliance on your western borders.
While China unsurprisingly lashed out at the NSS document, the Xi Jinping regime should blame itself for provoking the middle powers in the Indo-Pacific with its belligerent actions against Japan, Taiwan, and India. The middle kingdom concept that China is at the center of the world and the rest are tributary states has been challenged for the first time by Japan. China has faced the brunt of the Japanese military during World War II long enough to understand that Tokyo is not to be taken lightly.
The acquisition of long-range missiles such as the Tomahawk from the US and the construction of long-range nuclear attack submarines by Japan will change the strategic dimensions in East Asia with the US further cementing the defense alliance with Tokyo after the AUKUS alliance with Australia, partner of QUAD.
This means that the PLA will now span from the Northern theater command (against Japan), to the Eastern theater command (against US-backed Taiwan) to the Western theater command against India.
The Japanese national security review is also good news for India, as this could translate into closer defense cooperation between two very close allies, as Tokyo will no longer be inhibited by its pacifist doctrine in sharing technology and intelligence. high end. India and Japan have a common threat in China with the PLA firing long-range missiles into the Japanese EEZ this August and increasing military friction with India across LAC.
While the US, India and Australia were clear about the threat China faced, Japan as a QUAD member was the weakest link in the chain due to its pacifist strategy with PM Fumio Kishida himself representing Hiroshima. Japan’s NSS is a game changer in the Indo-Pacific.